LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come with announcement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU went to Texas and beat against the Longhorns per week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making decisions that were several a week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That includes the 45 they dropped on the road on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs around BetNow. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring defense keep this close? Or will Burrow as well as also the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling up and likewise win the wager? Here is the complete breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in Burrows ability . Hes transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is an actual existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that will fill the place. It is all part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSUs other competitors: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida sits in 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all Burrows standard. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on uneven so far in the other corner spot, but nevertheless has a large ceiling.
Burrow will face a, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) about the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While his awareness need to improve in the pocket, he has to get flustered with an opposing line. Auburns is possibly the best in the country, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and is now 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not portable outside of it. He sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to develop big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently regarded as DBU for the talent they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
On the opposite side of him would probably be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who allowed the least amount of first downs this past year. It will be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask though this group is in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this season going however. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the point on his way last weekend. Despite this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning power achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats including Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
If they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going it puts ways too much strain on Trask at a hostile environment.
Florida has earned admiration after week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game staying than most.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. But LSU isnt going to put up 45 or anything close to this. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
Since the team has relied upon them much too much to change the wave in games, the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson will be the subject to a PIs against the Chase or Jefferson.
However, I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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